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Assumptions

They continue releasing music regularly, build on their 2025 album push. Hot Apollo+2Hot Apollo+2
They maintain strong local/Canadian live presence, and aim for regional/North-American touring.
They ramp up streaming/playlist strategy, but no guaranteed viral breakout.
They diversify revenue (merch, fan-subscriptions via Bandcamp VIP, sync/licensing) — which they already support. Hot Apollo
External market factors (streaming rates, live-gig economics, indie-label support) remain comparable to today.
This assumes that James makes no major changes to his style, and even then is highly speculative. Plus it assumes that only the basic standard list items are attempted: ie. low risk, decent reward.
The Luck factor. The more the band is out there, the more luck good or bad can play a role. One lucky break can make a major difference.

Years 1-3 (2025-2028):

Album release in 2025, modest increase in monthly listeners (e.g., from ~400 to ~1,500-3,000).
Social follow grows from ~2.6k to ~5-8k.
Touring continues regionally (Canada + U.S. border states), modest merch income. Band stays niche/scene-level, respected locally.
Revenue sufficient to cover most band costs and perhaps small draw for Jaymes to partially live off it, but not full-time without side income.

Years 4-7 (2029-2032):

Accumulated catalogue draws steady streams; monthly listeners climb to maybe ~5,000-10,000; social media ~10-20k.
One larger “break” moment (e.g., a national tour support slot, festival billing) but still within indie circuit.
Financially: the band might reach “moderate” success — living wage for core members; able to invest in better production/tour support. But still not mainstream fame.

Years 8-10 (2033-2035):

The band becomes a well-known name in Canadian/indie rock scenes regionally; occasional international gigs. Monthly listeners possibly ~10-30k.
Revenue stabilizes: touring income, merch, licensing deals provide a sustainable income stream.
High-level fame (i.e., household-name, charting albums) remains out of reach — but they are “successful independent” acts.